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Is It Getting More Affordable To Buy a Home?
Thursday, April 18, 2024
Should I Wait for Mortgage Rates To Come Down Before I Move?
Thursday, April 18, 2024
Over the past year or so, a lot of people have been talking about how tough it is to buy a home. And while there’s no arguing affordability is still tight, there are signs it’s starting to get a bit better and may improve even more throughout the year.
Over the past year or so, a lot of people have been talking about how tough it is to buy a home. And while there’s no arguing affordability is still tight, there are signs it’s starting to get a bit better and may improve even more throughout the year. Elijah de la Campa, Senior Economist at Redfin, says:
“We’re slowly climbing our way out of an affordability hole, but we have a long way to go. Rates have come down from their peak and are expected to fall again by the end of the year, which should make homebuying a little more affordable and incentivize buyers to come off the sidelines.”
Here’s a look at the latest data for the three biggest factors that affect home affordability: mortgage rates, home prices, and wages.
1. Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates have been volatile this year – bouncing around in the upper 6% to low 7% range. That’s still quite a bit higher than where they were a couple of years ago. But there is a sliver of good news.
Despite the recent volatility, rates are still lower than they were last fall when they reached nearly 8%. On top of that, most experts still think they’ll come down some over the course of the year. A recent article from Bright MLS explains:
“Expect rates to come down in the second half of 2024 but remain above 6% this year. Even a modest drop in rates will bring both more buyers and more sellers into the market.”
Any drop in rates can make a difference for you. When rates go down, you can afford the home you really want more easily because your monthly payment would be lower.
2. Home Prices
The second big factor to think about is home prices. Most experts project they'll keep going up this year, but at a more normal pace. That’s because there are more homes on the market this year, but still not enough for everyone who wants to buy one. The graph below shows the latest 2024 home price forecasts from seven different organizations:
These forecasts are actually good news for you because it means the prices aren't likely to shoot up sky high like they did during the pandemic. That doesn’t mean they’re going to fall – they'll just rise at a slower pace.
3. Wages
One factor helping affordability right now is the fact that wages are rising. The graph below uses data from the Federal Reserve to show how wages have been growing over time:
Check out the blue dotted line. That shows how wages typically rise. If you look at the right side of the graph, you'll see wages are climbing even faster than normal right now.
Here’s how this helps you. If your income has increased, it's easier to afford a home because you don't have to spend as big of a percentage of your paycheck on your monthly mortgage payment.
Bottom Line
If you stack these factors up, you’ll see mortgage rates are still projected to come down a bit later this year, home prices are going up at a more moderate pace, and wages are growing quicker than normal. Those trends are a good sign for your ability to afford a home.
Hi, I Am Kim Dorman
Long & Foster Realtor
As your real estate agent, I hope you’ll think of me as your trusted advisor, your practiced negotiator, your skilled house-hunter and your neighborhood expert. Whether you’re buying, selling, renting or just looking, I’ll diligently work for you every step of the way. My goal is to deliver a joyful, seamless experience at every phase of the home buying or selling journey.
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Kim Dorman, with Long and Foster Real Estate, went above and beyond in handling the recent sale of our home! She gave us lots of information on all the steps involved in selling, as well as excellent recommendations for contractors for any needed repairs. She was very knowledgeable about all the steps involved and very willing to explain the whole process. We would definitely recommend her to anyone looking to buy or sell their home!
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Being a first time home buyer, my boyfriend and I were a little nervous about the home-buying process. Kim right away made us feel at ease and was able to speak to us first about the process before going all in. She discussed the housing market and what we can expect.... We are very happy with Kim and would strongly recommend using her for buying or selling your home.
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